丘陵山区家庭农场土地规模经营的认知意愿、行为响应及影响因素研究基于江津区现代农业示范园区的调查

Factors Influencing Family Farm-scale Management Willingness to Behavior in Hilly and Mountainous Areas: Taking Jiangjin District Modern Agriculture Demonstration Park as an Example

  • 摘要:
      目的  丘陵山区农业经营规模小、土地细碎化等问题难以适应现代农业规模化发展,揭示家庭农场规模经营意愿、行为及意愿转为行为的影响因素,助力于推进规模经营,发展现代农业。
      方法  以重庆市江津区现代农业示范园区271户家庭农场为例,基于行为转化路径视角,建立无序多分类Logistic模型,探究家庭农场规模经营意愿、行为及意愿转为行为的影响因素。
      结果  ① 26.57%的家庭农场主对规模经营有意愿有行为,表现出意愿与行为的一致性;37.27%有意愿,但无行为,表现出差异性;36.16%没有意愿也没有行为,表现出一致性。② 经营风险感知、经营规模满意度、适度规模的认知、经营耕地面积等对家庭农场主的规模经营意愿和行为均有显著影响;同时,有无专业技能、地块破碎度和区域环境等对意愿有较为显著影响,家庭劳动力人数、商品化率等对行为有较为显著影响。③ 经营耕地面积对家庭农场主规模经营意愿转为行为有显著影响,家庭劳动力人数、有无产业链、商品化率、适度规模认知影响次之,而亩均年收入、政府补贴率、非农收入比等资金特征影响较弱。
      结论  规模经营风险越小、对适度规模经营越了解、对目前经营规模越不满意且经营耕地面积越大的农场主产生规模经营意愿、行为的概率越大;而对于有意愿且经营耕地面积越大的农场主,发展扩大规模经营行为的概率越大。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  It is difficult to adapt to the large-scale development of modern agriculture, such as the small scale of agricultural operation and the fragmentation of land in hilly mountainous areas, and the disclosure of the influencing factors of the willingness, behavior and willingness to turn into behavior of family farms is conducive to promoting the development of modern agriculture in large-scale operation.
      Method  Taking 271 family farms in the modern agriculture demonstration park in Jiangjin District, Chongqing as an example, based on the perspective of behavior transformation path, this paper established a disordered multi-classification logistic model to explore the influencing factors of family farmers’ willingness to operate on an appropriate scale, behavior and willingness to change into a behavior.
      Result  ① 26.57% of family farmers had the will to act on the scale of operation, and the willingness and behavior showed consistency; 37.27% had the will, but no behavior, showing differences; 36.16% had no will and no behavior, showing consistency. ② Operational risk perception, satisfaction with business scale, awareness of appropriate scale, and area of cultivated land had significant impacts on the willingness and behavior of family farmers to operate on a large scale. At the same time, the presence or absence of professional skills, the degree of fragmentation of the plot and the regional environment had a significant impact on the willingness, and the number of household laborers and the commercialization rate had a significant impact on the behavior. ③ The area of cultivated land in operation has a significant impact on the willingness of family farmers to turn into behavior, followed by the number of family laborers, the presence or absence of industrial chains, the commercialization rate, and the cognition of moderate scale, while the impact of capital characteristics, such as average annual income per mu, government subsidy rate, and non-agricultural income ratio is weak.
      Conclusion  It is believed that the smaller the risk of large-scale operation, the more understanding of moderate-scale operation, the more dissatisfied with the current scale of operation, and the larger the area of cultivated land operated by the farmer, the greater the probability of generating large-scale operation willingness and behavior. Farmers, who are willing to operate the larger the area of arable land, have the greater the probability of developing a large-scale business.

     

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