土壤圈与岩石圈固碳是实现碳中和的主力军吗?

Are Pedosphere and Lithosphere the Main Force of Carbon Sequestration in Terrestrial Carbon Neutrality?

  • 摘要: 岩石圈和土壤圈是陆地上两个最大的碳库,正确评价两者的固碳作用对制定和推动国家碳中和战略至关重要。通过讨论两者碳库的数量及时间尺度、人工固碳措施效果、认识局限,深入剖析了两者碳中和的局限与不足。如果我国实施所有的碳汇目标导向型管理措施(包括部分草原和灌木地植树造林、50%退化草地封育、60%的农田进行秸秆还田、30%的农田开展免耕等),不同生态系统土壤每年总固碳量将为0.20 Pg C,仅占我国能源活动碳排放量的5.8% ~ 7.1%。但是,实施以上所有措施在实践上还存在很大难度,所以该碳汇量仅在理论上成立。尽管通过一些管理措施可以增加一定的土壤碳汇,但由于土壤固碳的稳定性和持续性问题,土壤固碳不太可能决定碳中和的走向。岩石圈的人工固碳措施成本高昂,回报率低,目前已开展的商业项目固碳量仅为0.07 Pg C,也不太可能是实现碳中和的主要途径。因此,土壤圈与岩石圈固碳是实现碳中和不可忽略的组成部分,但不是主力军,目前不宜过度强调土壤和地质在碳中和战略的重要性。本文提供一个全新视角系统评价了两者在碳中和中的地位,为碳中和政策制定和施行提供了参考。

     

    Abstract: Lithosphere and pedosphere are two carbon pools in the terrestrial. Evaluating their contributions objectively to carbon neutrality is vital to develop and drive the national carbon neutrality strategy of China. By discussing the time scale, the effect of artificial carbon sequestration measures and limitations, this perspective deeply analyzed the limitations and deficiencies of carbon neutrality between soil science and geology science. If China implements all carbon sink target-oriented managements (including afforestation in some grasslands and shrub lands, 50% of degraded grassland enclosure, 60% of straw incorporation, 30% of farmland no-tillage, etc.), the total annual carbon sequestration of soil in different ecosystems will be 0.20 Pg C per year, accounting for only 5.8 % ~ 7.1 % of energy-related CO2 emissions in China. Moreover, the implementation of all the above measures is still very difficult in practice, therefore the carbon sink is only theoretically established. Soil is not a suitable field to realize carbon neutrality due to its uncertainty in stability and persistence of carbon sequestration, although soil can take into account carbon neutrality by combining land use management measures. Lithosphere is not to be the main way to achievement carbon neutrality, since its high cost and low income of artificial carbon sequestration measures, as commercial carbon storage projects only contribute 0.07 Pg. Therefore, it is not recommended to overemphasize its importance in carbon neutralization strategy at present. This study provides a new perspective of their position in carbon neutrality, and a reference for the formulation and implementation of carbon neutrality policies.

     

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