基于改进灰靶模型的耕地利用韧性评价与障碍因子诊断研究以湖北省咸安区为例

Cultivated Land Utilization Toughness Evaluation and Obstacle Factor Diagnosis Based on Improved Grey Target Model—Taken Xian’an District of Hubei Province as an Example

  • 摘要:
    目的 系统诊断耕地利用韧性、识别韧性障碍因子并推动耕地差别化管护,是实现耕地可持续利用、保障粮食安全的重要途径,研究以湖北省咸安区耕地为实证对象,对研究区耕地利用韧性程度、各调控分区的障碍因子进行了系统诊断和解析,旨在为区域耕地利用实践提供参考。
    方法 基于韧性内涵,从抵抗力、适应力、恢复力三维层面构建出耕地利用韧性评价理论框架,借助层次分析法与CRITIC法明确指标综合权重,基于改进灰靶模型对区域耕地利用韧性进行测度并结合障碍因子诊断当前区域耕地利用韧性存在的问题。
    结果 ①咸安区耕地利用韧性处于中等偏上水平,靶心度取值范围在0.34 ~ 0.98之间,呈现“东北高、西南低”的空间分布格局,其中恢复力水平各等级分布较均匀,抵抗力和适应力分别呈“中部高,四周低”和“北高南低”的态势。②恢复力是影响耕地利用韧性的重要维度,其中农田林网化程度、距中心城镇距离是主要的障碍因子,田块大小、土层厚度、距交通干线距离等也是制约耕地利用韧性的关键因子。
    结论 从抵抗力-适应力-恢复力三个维度,选取7个一级指标和16个二级指标能较好地表征耕地利用韧性水平,区域耕地利用应注重从恢复力维度对耕地进行保护,加大对区域农林网化程度建设力度,协调好城镇化、交通基础设施建设与耕地利用的关系,追求生态建设与耕地利用的协调发展。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective It is an important way to realize sustainable development of cultivated land and ensure food security to systematically diagnose farmland toughness, identify obstacle factors of farmland toughness and promote differentiated protection of cultivated land. Taking Xian’ an District of Hubei Province as an empirical object, this study systematically diagnosed and analyzed land use in the study area and the obstacle factors in each regulation zone, in order to provide reference for regional cultivated land utilization practice.
    Methods A theoretical framework was constructed to evaluate the cultivated land utilization toughness from the three dimensions of resistance, adaptability and resilience based on the connotation of toughness. With the help of analytic hierarchy Process (AHP) and CRITIC methods, the comprehensive weight of indicators was defined. Based on the improved grey target model, the toughness of cultivated land utilization in the study area was measured, and the problems existed in the toughness of regional cultivated land utilization were measured with the diagnosis of obstacle factors.
    Result ① The cultivated land utilization toughness in Xian’ an District was at an upper medium level, and the bullseye value ranged from 0.34 to 0.98, showing a spatial distribution pattern of "high in northeast and low in southwest", wherein the level of resilience was evenly distributed in alternate phases. Moreover, the resistance and adaptability were showed the trends of "high in the middle, low in the surrounding area" and "high in north and low in south". ② In the order of obstacle factors of cultivated land toughness in each zone, resilience was an important dimension affecting the toughness of cultivated land, in which the degree of farmland afforestation and distance from the central town were the main obstacle factors. The size of the field, the thickness and the distance from the traffic trunk were also the key factors restricting the toughness of cultivated land.
    Conclusion Selecting seven primary indicators and sixteen secondary indicators from the dimensions of resistance, adaptability and resilience could effectively characterize the toughness level of farmland utilization. Regional cultivated land utilization should pay attention to the protection of cultivated land from the dimension of resilience, strengthening the conclusion of regional agroforestry network, coordinating the relationship between urbanization, transportation construction and cultivated land utilization, and pursuing the coordinated development of ecology and cultivated land utilization.

     

/

返回文章
返回